Research
2025
- arxivMulti-Agent Deep Hedging: Benchmarking Prosumer Strategies on Electricity Trading PlatformsNicolas Eschenbaum, Nicolas Greber, and Oleg SzehrDec 2025
We introduce Multi-Agent Deep Hedging (MADH), a computational framework that extends deep reinforcement learning to markets with endogenous price formation. MADH embeds a differentiable market-clearing mechanism into the learning process, enabling decentralized agents to internalize their price impact via gradient ascent. We apply MADH to peer-to-peer electricity trading, benchmarking it against a centralized welfare-maximizing planner. Using synthetic data for heterogeneous prosumer communities, we demonstrate that decentralized agents autonomously learn sophisticated arbitrage strategies, such as capacity withholding. Crucially, we find that this strategic behavior generates positive externalities: while active traders reduce their own costs through price-awareness, their arbitrage smooths market prices, reducing costs for passive consumers. Furthermore, quantitative regret analysis confirms that MADH policies converge with low regret < 1.5%. These results establish MADH as a scalable tool for designing stable and efficient autonomous trading platforms.
@unpublished{eschenbaum-greber-szehr-2025, author = {Eschenbaum, Nicolas and Greber, Nicolas and Szehr, Oleg}, title = {Multi-Agent Deep Hedging: Benchmarking Prosumer Strategies on Electricity Trading Platforms}, month = dec, year = {2025}, keywords = {Peer-to-peer (P2P) electricity trading, Energy platforms, Multi-agent reinforcement learning, Neural networks, Market design}, } - WPSelective Confusion: An Empirical Analysis of the DMA’s Brussels EffectPeter Georg Picht, Luka Nenadic, Octavia Barnes, and 2 more authorsDec 2025
This article examines the extent to which designated “gatekeepers” implement the provisions of the EU’s Digital Markets Act outside its territorial scope ("Brussels Effect"). Drawing on transparency reports, contractual documents, and informal communications, we reveal significant disparities in compliance strategies. Apple, Google, and Booking predominantly restrict their implementation to the EU or EEA, whereas Microsoft, Meta, and ByteDance extend certain measures to non-EU jurisdictions, notably Switzerland. Crucially, obligations subject to non-compliance proceedings by the European Commission are rarely extended beyond the EU, suggesting a strategic approach to territorial extensions of the DMA’s implementation. The article also uncovers a pattern of complex and sometimes contradictory communication by gatekeepers, raising questions about the transparency of the DMA’s implementation. These inconsistencies, coupled with selective extensions of specific data-related DMA provisions, point to a fragmented “Brussels Effect” of the law. The findings also imply that gatekeepers weigh the economic and strategic costs of compliance when deciding on territorial scope, and that the DMA’s global impact may depend on further coordination between regulators as well as more stringent enforcement.
@unpublished{eschenbaum-picht-2025, author = {Picht, Peter Georg and Nenadic, Luka and Barnes, Octavia and Kuster, Yannick and Eschenbaum, Nicolas}, title = {Selective Confusion: An Empirical Analysis of the DMA's Brussels Effect}, month = dec, year = {2025}, keywords = {Digital Markets Act, gatekeepers, Brussels Effect, digital platforms, Apple, Google, enforcement, interoperability, compliance strategies, strategic ambiguity}, } - arXivCoasian Dynamics or Failures? The Role of Trading-Up OpportunitiesStefan Buehler, Nicolas Eschenbaum, and Severin LenhardDec 2025
This paper develops an analytical framework that captures a broad class of monopoly pricing problems, aiming to explain why Coasian dynamics emerge in some settings while Coasian failures arise in others. We intro duce the notion of trading-up opportunities and show that they are the driving force behind Coasian dynamics. In particular, pricing dynamics do not emerge in the absence of trading-up opportunities—a Coasian failure. Instead, with trading-up opportunities, pricing dynamics arise until these opportunities are exhausted or the game ends. We show how our analysis generalizes to transitional games where one variety is only indirectly accessible.
@unpublished{buehler-eschenbaum-2025, author = {Buehler, Stefan and Eschenbaum, Nicolas and Lenhard, Severin}, title = {Coasian Dynamics or Failures? The Role of Trading-Up Opportunities}, month = dec, year = {2025}, } - WPDynamic Pricing in Bilateral Relationships: Experimental EvidenceStefan Buehler, Thomas Epper, Nicolas Eschenbaum, and 1 more authorDec 2025
This paper presents experimental evidence on dynamic pricing in a large number of finite-horizon bilateral relationships, building on Hart and Tirole (1988). We examine four distinct treatments that vary the mode of trade and the seller’s commitment ability. We find that theory accurately predicts average prices across relationships but falls short of capturing the diversity of individual price trajectories. We also find that commitment has less bite than theory predicts, with sellers leaving significant rents to buyers and frequently committing to changing or oscillating prices. Our analysis suggests that theory explains behavior under renting better than under selling.
@unpublished{dynamic-pricing-experiment-2025, author = {Buehler, Stefan and Epper, Thomas and Eschenbaum, Nicolas and Koch, Roberta}, title = {Dynamic Pricing in Bilateral Relationships: Experimental Evidence}, month = dec, year = {2025}, } - arxivRepeated Auctions with Speculators: Arbitrage Incentives and Forks in DAOsNicolas Eschenbaum, and Nicolas GreberMay 2025
We analyze the vulnerability of decentralized autonomous organizations (DAOs) to speculative exploitation via their redemption mechanisms. Studying a game-theoretic model of repeated auctions for governance shares with speculators, we characterize the conditions under which—in equilibrium—an exploitative exit is guaranteed to occur, occurs in expectation, or never occurs. We evaluate four redemption mechanisms and extend our model to include atomic exits, time delays, and DAO spending strategies. Our results highlight an inherent tension in DAO design: mechanisms intended to protect members from majority attacks can inadvertently create opportunities for costly speculative exploitation. We highlight governance mechanisms that can be used to prevent speculation.
@unpublished{eschenbaum-greber-daos-2025, author = {Eschenbaum, Nicolas and Greber, Nicolas}, title = {Repeated Auctions with Speculators: Arbitrage Incentives and Forks in DAOs}, month = may, year = {2025}, }
2024
- StudyWirkung von Preissignalen und Regulierungen auf die StromnachfrageUrs Trinkner, Nicolas Eschenbaum, Lilia Habibulina, and 3 more authorsJan 2024
Die Studie untersucht den Effekt von Preissignalen im Strommarkt im Kontext staatlicher Massnahmen. Während auf Grosshandelsmärkten eine geringe Preiselastizität gemessen wird, führt eine Preiserhöhung Endkundenpreisen von 10% bei Haushalten zu einem Nachfragerückgang von 1 bis 3% und bei Unternehmen von 2 bis 7%. Eine Umfrage bei Geschäftskunden zeigt, dass diese ihre gestiegenen Stromkosten mehrheitlich an ihre Endkunden haben weitergeben können. Gleichzeitig arbeiten sie grossmehrheitlich daran, ihre Stromnachfrage zu reduzieren und in Eigenproduktion investieren.
@unpublished{eschenbaum-se-2024, author = {Trinkner, Urs and Eschenbaum, Nicolas and Habibulina, Lilia and Sabotic, Maida and de Luze, Romain and de Stadelhofen, Leah Meyer}, title = {Wirkung von Preissignalen und Regulierungen auf die Stromnachfrage}, month = jan, year = {2024}, keywords = {Electricity demand, Elasticities, Policy measures}, }
2021
- arXivDealing with Uncertainty: The Value of Reputation in the Absence of Legal InstitutionsNicolas Eschenbaum, and Helge LiebertMay 2021
This paper studies reputation in the online market for illegal drugs in which no legal institutions exist to alleviate uncertainty. Trade takes place on platforms that offer rating systems for sellers, thereby providing an observable measure of reputation. The analysis exploits the fact that one of the two dominant platforms unexpectedly disappeared. Re-entering sellers reset their rating. The results show that on average prices decreased by up to 9% and that a 1% increase in rating causes a price increase of 1%. Ratings and prices recover after about three months. We calculate that identified good types earn 1,650 USD more per week.
@unpublished{eschenbaum-liebert-2021, author = {Eschenbaum, Nicolas and Liebert, Helge}, title = {Dealing with Uncertainty: The Value of Reputation in the Absence of Legal Institutions}, month = may, year = {2021}, keywords = {Reputation, institutions, uncertainty, dark web, drugs}, } - arXivRobust Algorithmic CollusionNicolas Eschenbaum, Filip Mellgren, and Philipp ZahnDec 2021
This paper develops a formal framework to assess policies of learning algorithms in economic games. We investigate whether reinforcement-learning agents with collusive pricing policies can successfully extrapolate collusive behavior from training to the market. We find that in testing environments collusion consistently breaks down. Instead, we observe static Nash play. We then show that restricting algorithms’ strategy space can make algorithmic collusion robust, because it limits overfitting to rival strategies. Our findings suggest that policy-makers should focus on firm behavior aimed at coordinating algorithm design in order to make collusive policies robust
@unpublished{eschenbaum-mellgren-zahn-2021, author = {Eschenbaum, Nicolas and Mellgren, Filip and Zahn, Philipp}, title = {Robust Algorithmic Collusion}, month = dec, year = {2021}, }
2020
- JEBOExplaining escalating prices and fines: A unified approachStefan Buehler, and Nicolas EschenbaumJournal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Dec 2020
This paper provides an explanation for escalating prices and fines based on a unified analytical framework that nests monopoly pricing and optimal law enforcement. We show that escalation emerges as an optimal outcome if the principal (i) lacks commitment ability, and (ii) gives less than full weight to agent benefits. Escalation is driven by decreasing transfers for non-active agents rather than increasing transfers for active agents. Some forward-looking agents then strategically delay their activity, which drives a wedge between the optimal static transfer and the benefit of an indifferent agent. This wedge is the source of escalation.
@article{buehler-eschenbaum-2020, author = {Buehler, Stefan and Eschenbaum, Nicolas}, journal = {Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization}, title = {Explaining escalating prices and fines: A unified approach}, year = {2020}, issn = {0167-2681}, pages = {153 - 164}, volume = {171}, doi = {https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2020.01.008}, keywords = {Escalation, Behavior-based pricing, Repeat offenders, Deterrence}, url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167268120300093}, }
2018
- WPEstimating Geographic Market Size Nonparametrically: An Application to Grocery RetailingNicolas EschenbaumNov 2018
This paper develops a nonparametric approach to empirically determine geographic market size. I exploit highly detailed spatial data and provide estimates of business-stealing effects across distance by studying the impact of store entry on competitors in an increasing range to the entry site. Entropy balancing is employed to control for systematic differences across local markets. I estimate that markets for Swiss grocery retailing stores are highly localized in a tight four kilometer radius. I further document evidence that the impact weakens with increasing distance and that smaller retailers compete in a more narrow market of only two kilometers in size.